Fantasy football season is right around the corner, so it's time to start breaking down each position. Quarterback is a somewhat elite position this year with only about 7 or 8 guys that you actually want leading your team. After that, it is a total crapshoot of young player, old players, and guys on bad teams.
The first tier of QB (aka your first/second rounders) are Brees, Brady, and Manning. Brees appears highly likely to remain the top scorer as long as his weapons can get healthy. He set the world on fire last year with guys like Lance Moore catching balls. Brady should return to glory, but they'll likely mix a bit more run into the gameplan to keep him healthy. Galloway and Moss on the outside and Welker in the slot should give him all the weapons he needs. Manning will be down one target, but they'll find a slot man and use Clark that way also. He's steady eddie.
The second tier of QB is a bit more of personal preference. I am an Aaron Rodgers guy. Nobody has the weapons he does with Jennings, Driver, Jones, Nelson, and Finley out wide and inside. The running game forces him to put the ball in the air often. Philip Rivers proved to me that he can be a force with an improving receiving corps and good use of his running backs. McNabb, Romo, and Warner fit into this grouping as well. They are slightly lower due to the injury risks. If you think Warner can finish another full season be my guest.
A couple of Matts are next on my list. Matt Ryan should be solid in his second year as they try to throw more to ease the burden on Turner. Matt Schaub is my sleeper special. He's looking to finally stay healthy this year and he has a bright young corps headed by Andre 3000. Slaton helps the receiving game as well.
The ailing QBs fall in line next with Big Ben having a rough offseason, Carson Palmer returning to the black hole that is Cincinnati, and Matt Hasselbeck getting older out west. Jay Cutler fits in with these guys. He just doesn't have the weapons to be any more than a fringe starter this season. I won't be taking on the risk/reward of a Palmer or Hasselbeck unless they become a high ceiling value later in the draft.
Cassel, Eli, and Garrard appear to be the high end of the backup QB jet set. Cassel appears to be a one year wonder while he struggles to grasp the offense in KC. Eli has been a fantasy joke his entire career. Garrard could be primed for a big rebound since he was missing more than half his offensive line last year. Torry Holt could help steady that offense.
The high risk guys are Edwards, Orton, and Flacco. These younger guys have weapons around them and strong arms. I have no idea how that will translate to fantasy football. Too risky for my taste.
The next tier is old, bad, and quite possibly gay. Kerry Collins, Delhomme, Bulger, and Campbell are not guys I want on any of my teams. Enough said.
Quinn, Stafford, Russell, and Sanchez are the keeper league only guys. If you're drafting any of these four in a league that doesn't allow for late round keepers, you're wasting picks. They won't ever be a good play for a winning team. If you start Stafford this year as a bye week filler and get 20 points and your team finishes 3-10, I don't want to hear about it. You still suck.
That's the official word on quarterbacks this season (subject to change from injury or preseason results). Now it's your job to follow the preseason and slot these guys for your drafts.
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